Sunday, January 25, 2009
Still going to run through the rest of the roster over the next couple of days but I wanted to quickly address the Vinny rumours.
There are three trades the Oilers can make, as far as I am concerned.
The first, the type that I think they will make and should make, would be to shore up the roster so that this club makes the playoffs and has a shot at advancing if they slip into the #5 or # 6 slot. I think they need to pick up a LW to play with Cogliano and Pisani and then a second forward to play on the fourth line, work the PK etc.
Throw in a veteran for insurance for the bottom pair and a more reliable option than Deslauriers if Roli goes down and you're done. We're talking about guys on expiring contracts, veteran guys like Dean McAmmond, for example, guys you can pick up for low round picks or marginal prospects.
The second type of trade would be an upgrade that would cost the Oilers a guy like Nilsson or Grebeshkov. What I am thinking here is the Oilers picking up a guy with a little more experience who can replace the guy they are moving out. The player coming in would likely cost a little more, would be signed for another couple of years so they hit that first year where the Oilers intend to be strong contenders and would play for a club looking to rebuild. The Oilers might have to throw in a prospect or pick as well.
For the D I'm thinking a guy who can play top four who can make that first pass and bring a little more physically. A guy like Eric Brewer might be along the lines of what I am thinking. Up front, maybe a guy like Nick Hagman.
Not these players, mind you, but use them as an example of what I am thinking.
The third type of trade is the home run. The trade for a guy like Bouwmeester or Kovalchuk (signed to a long term deal, by necessity). The trade for Vinny.
The trade for an impact guy.
Lowe made such a trade for Pronger and tried to sign Hossa this past summer.
There are three things that make me nervous about this type of rumour.
1/ The contract. Eleven years is insane. Insane. I could handle the money for a five year deal. But in eleven years my daughter, who is in kindergarten now, would be a year away from graduating high school. Considering that this club is ~ 50 million heading into this summer already (minus Cole and a starting goalie) and that in another year they have to pay Cogliano and Gagner and the cap might drop significantly and I'm thinking adding eight million per may not be a good move right now.
2/ The cost. When I hear seven assets going the other way then I throw up in my mouth a little., no, make that a lot. Now of course it depends on who is heading the other way. If its Cogliano, Grebeshkov, Schremp, Chorney and a first then maybe, maybe, I could think about it for a moment. Substitute Wild for Chroney, Brodziak for Schremp, Gilbert for Grebs and then it becomes ridiculous.
I don't like moving Cogliano at all, by the way.
3/ The player. Here is where the debate gets hot. I'm thinking Vinny with Hemsky is probably a beautiful thing but there are plenty of guys I would prefer over him. Its hard to figure, I mean the guy's underlying numbers are bleah but how much of that is the team that he is playing with?
Of course the team that he is playing with was gutted to pay him, Richards and St. Louis.
It all comes back to that contract. I look at Philly and what they're up against with Briere.
I say no. Before I even get to # 2 or # 3 I say no because of #1.
Posted by Black Dog at 9:47 PM